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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 10 October 14
U.S. PRODUCED 83.2 MMST OF COAL IN SEPTEMBER, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 09 October 14
CAPESIZE MARKET HAS CONTINUED TO SHOW WEAKNESS - FEARNLEYS
Handy
We mentioned last week that after several weeks of rate increase for the Supras, the bigger Panamaxes started to snap up better paying Supr ...
Thursday, 09 October 14
SHIPPING REMAINS CHALLENGED AS GLOBAL GROWTH DISAPPOINTS - BIMCO
The global shipping industry finds no grace from much stronger economic activity going forward, as the global recovery remains fragile and uneven. ...
Wednesday, 08 October 14
CAPES RATE FOR THE W. AUSTRALIA TO CHINA VOYAGE MOVED TO BELOW $8/MT - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market remained under pressure last week, with rates for Capes remaining on the red while those for Panamaxes managed to outperform th ...
Wednesday, 08 October 14
OIL COULD FALL TO USD80 BEFORE SHALE SUPPLY RESPONSE - FITCH
COALspot.com: Brent oil could fall as low as USD80 a barrel before triggering a self-correcting supply response with shale-oil drillers cutting inv ...
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- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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