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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 13 October 14
INDONESIAN COAL SWAPS FOR DELIVERY Q4' 2014 GAINED WEEK ON WEEK AND DAY ON DAY
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q4' 2014 gained week on week and day on day.
The swap lost US$ 0.13 (-0.25%) month on mon ...
Monday, 13 October 14
Q1' 2015 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED US$ 0.31 PMT HIGHER THAN Q4' 2014 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 0.66 (-1.00%) month over month and US$ 0.40 (-0.61%) ...
Sunday, 12 October 14
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WEAK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: This week all the segments softened. The BDI down 7.13 pct week on week and closed below 1000 points at 963 points.
The Cape ind ...
Saturday, 11 October 14
COAL PRODUCTION RISES ONLY SLIGHTLY AS GOVT LIMITS MINING OPERATIONS - THE JAKARTA POST
Indonesian coal production rose by only 4 percent in the first nine months of this year, a relatively low increase compared to previous years, as t ...
Friday, 10 October 14
INDONESIA TO DEVELOP DOWNSTREAM COAL INDUSTRY - JP
The government is planning to launch a program to develop the downstream coal industry to increase the commodity’s added value, an official h ...
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Planning Commission, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parliament of New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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