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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 15 October 14
NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 13.96 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN SEPTEMBER; UP 5.72%
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1,227.7 wor ...
Tuesday, 14 October 14
KING COAL UNDER ATTACK? - EVA TZIMA
With the last quarter of the year being well underway and with no strong signs that the Dry Bulk market could be ready for a big positive reversal, ...
Tuesday, 14 October 14
THE NEW CHINESE TRANSPORTATION TAX LAW: WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR GREEK SHIPPING? - DELOITTE
China has recently promulgated a new law which imposes tax on profits from freights of inbound routes. The objective of the new tax law titled &ldq ...
Monday, 13 October 14
CHINESE COAL IMPORT TARIFFS YET ANOTHER BLOW TO AUSTRALIAN COAL EXPORTS - TIM BUCKLEY
COALspot.com: China’s unexpected move to reintroduce thermal coal import tariffs of 6% will have a materially negative impact on the viabilit ...
Monday, 13 October 14
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 54.92, SGX DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2014 decreased US$ 0.80 (-1.46%) month over month and US$ 0.52 (-0.95%) week over ...
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- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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