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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 16 October 14
ARE WE GOING TO SHOOT OURSELVES IN THE FOOT ONCE AGAIN? - PANOS MAKRINOS
As the East part of our globe was coming back from its October holidays last week, everyone expected that the Dry Bulk market would follow suit and ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
PANAMAX: ACTIVITY IN THE PACIFIC WAS UNIMPRESSIVE
The Dry Bulk market noted another weekly decline last week, while the BDI moved below 1,000 points taking down with it expectations that a post hol ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE FELL TO FRESH MULTI-YEAR LOWS IN OCTOBER
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price once again in October 2014.
...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
DRY BULK SHIPPING: RATE IMPROVEMENTS ARRIVED AS FORECAST, BUT UNCERTAINTY MOUNTS FOR 2015 DEMAND - BIMCO
BIMCO released its latest short term assessment of the dry bulk market, estimating that over the October-November period, the level of Capesize TC ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
SHIPOWNER NOT LIABLE FOR CARGO DAMAGE RESULTING FROM POOR STOWAGE - CLYDE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Russian metal trading company Yuzhny Zavod Metall Profil (YZMP), the holder of a CONGEN 1994 bill of lading, took delivery o ...
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The University of Queensland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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