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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 17 October 14
INTERNATIONAL COAL PRICES ARE AT LOWEST LEVEL; COAL STOCKS AT INDIAN POWER PLANTS ARE ALSO AT LOWEST LEVEL
International coal prices as well as coal freights are falling and reaching to its lowest levels. According to PTI, fuel stockpiles at the thermal ...
Friday, 17 October 14
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION UP BY 3.6% WEEK - ON - WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.20 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Friday, 17 October 14
DRY BULK SHIPPING'S OUTLOOK NOW SHIFTING TO A LESS PROMISING ONE, SHIP PRICES EXPECTED TO FOLLOW SOON - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
China’s and other Asian countries’ return to the dry bulk market last week, didn’t trigger the hoped support towards the dry bulk ...
Thursday, 16 October 14
KOREA MIDLAND POWER TO BUY 490K MT OF LCV COAL FOR 1Q 2015
COALspot.com : Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd. has invited bids through International open bidding for 490,000 Metric Tons (MT) of LCV (Sub) Bitumino ...
Thursday, 16 October 14
PANAMAX OWNERS RECEIVE A PREMIUM FOR GOING TO INDIA VIA INDONESIA - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Handy/Supra market continues to slide in both hemispheres, said Fearnleys AS in its latest week report. In the Atlantic we see rates co ...
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
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