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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 04 November 14
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS GAINED WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 1.09 (-1.99%) month over month and increased US$ 0.31 (+0.58% ...
Monday, 03 November 14
ADARO PRODUCED 41.90MT OF COAL FOR FIRST 9 MONTHS OF 2014
COALspot.com: Adaro’s coal production in the third quarter reached 14.03 Mt, a 2% increase compared to the same period of last year. Accordin ...
Monday, 03 November 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q4' 2014 DELIVERY LOST 2.80% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery has decreased US$ 1.86 (-2.80%) month over month and increased US$ 0.37 ( ...
Monday, 03 November 14
INDONESIAN'S COAL EXPORTS JUMP IN SEPTEMBER
COALspot.com: Indonesia, one of the world's largest coal producers and the global leading multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.50 ...
Sunday, 02 November 14
CAPE INDEX WAS UP 46.65% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI and Cape index continued the strong upward trend this week. The BDI was up 19.80 pct and Cape index was up by 46.65 per ...
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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