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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Friday, 31 October 14
BUKIT ASAM'S NET PROFIT ROSE 27.42% FOR THE PERIOD JANUARY - SEPTEMBER 2014
COALspot.com: Publicly listed coal miner Bukit Asam reported solid profits in the first nine months of 2014 year.
Coal miner Bukit Asam manage ...
Friday, 31 October 14
U.S PRODUCED AROUND 19.3 MMST OF COAL IN A WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.3 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 30 October 14
COAL & GRAINS SUPPORT PANAMAX AND IRON ORE SUPPORTS CAPES
Handy
The Atlantic market has been flat this week. Rates are up about US$ 200 from last week on the TA´s, but the volumes are about the sam ...
Thursday, 30 October 14
DOES A LOU ARBITRATION AGREEMENT FOR THE UNDERLYING CARGO CLAIM COMPLETELY REPLACE THE BILL OF LADING ARBITRATION CLAUSE? - INCE &CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In the context of cargo claims brought under four bills of lading, the Commercial Court has recently considered whether a ...
Wednesday, 29 October 14
GOOD REASON WHY Q4 CAPESIZE OUTLOOK WAS SO BULLISH AT START OF THE YEAR - COMMODORE RESEARCH
COALspot.com: There was good reason why so many analysts' capesize outlook for Q4 was so very strong at the start of this year. Brazilian ...
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- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- White Energy Company Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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