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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 10 November 14
Q4' 15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED LOWER THAN Q1' 15 CLOSING PRICE OF US$ 49.58 ON LAST FRIDAY
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week on week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lost just US$ ...
Monday, 10 November 14
SGX'S API 4 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 65.44 ON 7 NOV, LOST 4.08% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 2.78 (-4.08%) month over month and US$ 1.41 (-2.11%) w ...
Monday, 10 November 14
MOZAMBIQUE SIGNED CONTRACT WITH ETA STAR OF UAE FOR OPEN CAST COAL MINE IN TETE - AIM
- ETA Star to build slurry pipeline over the 600 kilometers to Beira in Mozambique to transport coal.
- The viability studies show the presence o ...
Monday, 10 November 14
YEAR 2015 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP SHOWS A WEAK TREND THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 3.74 (-5.63%) month over month and US$ 2.19 (+3.37%) we ...
Sunday, 09 November 14
CAPE INDEX UP 3.06%; PANAMAX INDEX FELL 4.05%
COALspot.com: The BDI was almost at same levels compared to last week closing or just increased 0.77 pct from last week. The BDI was closed at 1437 ...
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Planning Commission, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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