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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 07 November 14
U.S. PRODUCED 85.60 MILLION SHORT TONS OF COAL IN OCTOBER, UP 2.88% M-O-M
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.0 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 06 November 14
THE ATLANTIC HAS REMAINED STRONG WITH A HEALTHY SUPPLY OF NEW CARGOES
Handy
This week has continued its slow trend in both hemispheres and even though rates are a bit up w-o-w it is not a clear sign for any improvem ...
Wednesday, 05 November 14
CAPESIZE SEGMENT ENJOYED FIRMING RATES ACROSS BOTH BASINS
Following a fantastic week in terms of rate performance for Capes, the Dry Bulk market managed to note another positive weekly closing, which stron ...
Wednesday, 05 November 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
COALspot.com: The steep appreciation in dry bulker values between late 2012 and March 2014 resulted in unrealistically expensive ship values compar ...
Tuesday, 04 November 14
INDONESIAN COAL SWAPS FOR 2015 DELIVERIES SHOW A WEAK TREND
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q4' 2014 lost month on month and gained day on day and week on week, the trend was same as las ...
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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