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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 28 October 14
SGX'S FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR DELIVERY Q1' 2015 CLOSED AT $ 68.07 ON 24 OCT
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 0.65 (-0.96%) month over month and increased US$ 1.79 (+2. ...
Tuesday, 28 October 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED 3.68% LOWER MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q4' 2014 lost month on month and gained day on day and week on week.
The swap has lost US ...
Monday, 27 October 14
GOVT PROMISES TO EASE LICENSING PROCEDURES IN MINING SECTOR - THE JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry’s directorate general for mineral and coal plans to simplify the complicated licensing procedures i ...
Monday, 27 October 14
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED $ 0.10 LESSER THAN Q4' 14 CLOSING OF $ 53.27 PMT
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 1.43 (-2.61%) month over month and increased US$ 0.05 (+0.09% ...
Monday, 27 October 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS PERFORMED POSITIVE THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 1.68 (-2.55%) month over month and increased US$ 0.87 (+1.3 ...
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The University of Queensland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
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