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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 15 December 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP LOST $3.37 M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 3,37 (-5.33%) month over month and US$ 1.58 (-2.57%) ...
Monday, 15 December 14
Q1' 15 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 51.45 ON 12 DEC
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.45 per MT (-2.74%) closed at US$ 51.45 on 12 December month over ...
Sunday, 14 December 14
FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index (BDI), a measure of commodity-shipping costs, fell 12.12 pct to 863 points week ending 12 December 2014.
Th ...
Friday, 12 December 14
LIMITED TRADING AND AN OVERSUPPLY OF TONNAGE PUSHED HANDY SIZE SHIPS TO DOWN IN USG
Handy
We have seen the TA spot market come down this week lead by limited trading and an oversupply of tonnage in the USG, Fearnleys said in its ...
Friday, 12 December 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP 3.4% W/E DECEMBER 6
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
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