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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 08 December 14
GOVERMENT TO WITHDRAW CNC STATUS OVER SUSPECTED FLAWS - THE JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry’s directorate general for mineral and coal plans to review the clean and clear (CnC) status held by ...
Monday, 08 December 14
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS SLIP W-O-W AND M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 52.10 on 5 December after losing US$ 0.55 (-1.04%) month over ...
Sunday, 07 December 14
SUPRAMAX S8 ROUTE SLIGHTLY INCREASED WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI continued its fall as cape index fell heavily week on week.
The BDI lost around14.83 pct within last five working day an ...
Saturday, 06 December 14
TANKER FLOATING STORAGE PLAYS COULD COME INTO PLAY IF VLCC RATES STAY AT CURRENT LEVEL - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Contango: A phenomenon in commodities futures price curves where the delivery price of a futures contract is greater than the current price. With t ...
Saturday, 06 December 14
MUNDRA PORT MAKES HISTORY BY HANDLING THE LARGEST BULK CARRIER TO CALL ON WEST COAST OF INDIA
COALspot.com: Adani Ports & SEZ Ltd, India’s largest port developer and part of Adani Group, yesterday said its Mundra Port successf ...
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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