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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 10 December 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS, INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: As 2014 is coming to an end, we look back to what has happened during the year and notice that SnP activity has been particularly sof ...
Wednesday, 10 December 14
WORLD HARD COAL MARKET 2014: PRODUCTION AND TRADE STAGNATING, IMPORTS TO GERMANY AND EUROPE ON THE DECLINE
Press Release: German Coal Importers Association (VDKi) criticizes regulations ordering reduction of CO2 emissions from coal-fired power plants as ...
Tuesday, 09 December 14
PRESSURE ON CHINA COAL MINERS TO CONTINUE DESPITE GOVERNMENT SUPPORT - FITCH
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says that Chinese coal mining companies will continue to be pressured by low prices, which will persist despite recent ...
Tuesday, 09 December 14
Q4' 2015, FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 49.02 W/E 5 DEC
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.2 ...
Tuesday, 09 December 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FELL 1.8% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 1.84 (-2.91%) month over month and US$ 0.95 (-1.52%) we ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The University of Queensland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Coal Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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