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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 16 December 14
THIS PRICE IS A STEAL - EVA TZIMA
COALspot.com: Despite concerns that the slowdown of the Chinese economy would affect imports of iron ore, it seems that this has not been the case ...
Tuesday, 16 December 14
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q2' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 65.60 PMT
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.18 (-0.27%) month on month ...
Tuesday, 16 December 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CONTINUES ITS FALL
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 1.7 ...
Monday, 15 December 14
WILL TANKERS BENEFIT FROM REEMERGENCE OF FLOATING STORAGE PLAYS? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The tanker market has been seeing high freight rates for some time now, riding on the back of low oil prices, which are boosting demand from develo ...
Monday, 15 December 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE CRASHES THROUGH $65
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price once again in December. HBA for t ...
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- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PTC India Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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