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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 19 December 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION REACHED APPROXIMATELY 19.8 MMST; UP 1.0% WOW
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 19 December 14
HANDY: SOFTER TONE; PANAMAX: QUIET WEEK; CAPESIZE; PAINFUL WEEK
Handy
A softer tone for rates and volumes for the Supras, perhaps less apparent in the Pacific the last week before the season holidays and good ...
Thursday, 18 December 14
INDONESIA TO REVISE UP COAL OUTPUT TARGET TO 460 MILLION TONS IN 2015
COALspot.com: Indonesian government has revised up its next year coal output forecast to 460 million tons from its previous forecast of 421 million ...
Wednesday, 17 December 14
CAPES RATES SLIPPED BELOW $5,600/DAY, FELL 84% YOY
COALspot.com: In the very rare occurrence when the BCI stands below the BDI, words to describe market sentiment are probably poor, said Intermodal ...
Wednesday, 17 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL SHANGHAI, SNP TEAM
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, we are all witness to the second hand market prices softening day by day. Any new deal surfacing t ...
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- White Energy Company Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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