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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 23 December 14
SHIPOWNERS ARE FINALIZING MORE DEALS AS YEAR END COMES CLOSER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS WORLDWIDE
With the 2014 year just a few days before waving goodbye, shipowners are looking to close their pending deals in both the newbuilding and S&P m ...
Monday, 22 December 14
Q2'15 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 0.30 LOWER THAN Q1'15 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 3.67 (-5.81%) month over month and US$ 0.35 (-0.58%) ...
Monday, 22 December 14
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS ARE HEADING SOUTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.71 per MT (-3.24%) and closed at US$ 51.02 on 19 December month ...
Sunday, 21 December 14
PANAMAX COAL FREIGHT FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA FALLS FURTHER
COALspot.com: The BDI continued its fall as cape index lost heavily week on week.
The BDI was down 6.95 percent week over week and closed at 8 ...
Friday, 19 December 14
HOW WILL LOWER BUNKER PRICES AFFECT THE SUBSTANTIAL OVERCAPACITY IN DRY BULK MARKET? - BIMCO
As bunker fuel costs have come down from USD 600 per tonnes to USD 330 per tonnes in the past 6 months, much talk about increased ship speed have s ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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