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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Friday, 26 December 14
SHIPS FACE LOWER SULPHUR FUEL REQUIREMENTS IN EMISSION CONTROL AREAS FROM 1 JANUARY 2015 - IMO
Ships trading in designated emission control areas will have to use on board fuel oil with a sulphur content of no more than 0.10% from 1 January 2 ...
Wednesday, 24 December 14
CAPE DEMAND WAS STILL EXTREMELY SOFT THIS PAST WEEK ACROSS BOTH BASINS - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The performance of the Dry Bulk market, which found itself in desperate search of support for yet another week, has left very little ...
Wednesday, 24 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - JOHN N. COTZIAS, INTERMODAL SNP BROKER
The year is coming to an end, and we should be able to assess if this was a good year, a bad year, or even a lousy one? The answer clearly de ...
Tuesday, 23 December 14
Q1'15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP GAINED 48 CENTS IN ONE WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and gained week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lo ...
Tuesday, 23 December 14
Q4'15 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS FALL $ 3.85 IN A MONTH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 2.13 (-3.17%) month on month ...
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
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