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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 30 December 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ALMOST FLAT AT -0.2%
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Monday, 29 December 14
CHINESE COAL IMPORTS: REGULATORY RISKS? - CLARKSONS
In recent years, Chinese seaborne coal imports have surged, registering average growth of 67% p.a. between 2009 and 2013 to total 265mt. However, t ...
Monday, 29 December 14
BULK MARKET ENDS YEAR ON SOUR NOTE, SHIPBROKER SEES 'BUMPY ROAD AHEAD' - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
2014 was supposed to be the year that the dry bulk market would stage a comeback and a sustainable one for that matter. However, while for the most ...
Monday, 29 December 14
Q1'15 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $59.42
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 3.51 (-5.58%) month over month and US$ 0.08 (-0.13%) ...
Monday, 29 December 14
SGX'S FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS IMPROVED W-O-W, LOST M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.44 per MT (-2.73%) month over month and gained US$ 0.36 (+0.71%) ...
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- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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