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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 25 January 15
PANAMAX FREIGHT RATES STILL FALLING
COALspot.com: The BDI was slightly down this week to 720 points. The BDI lost 2.83 pct week on week.
The cape index continued its upward trend ...
Friday, 23 January 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION FOR WEEK ENDING JAN. 17 UP 2.5%
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.4 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 22 January 15
PANAMAX: A SOFTER TONE AND OVERALL A SLUGGISH MARKET - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The handy and supra market has experienced yet another week with slow activity and softening rates in both hemispheres, broker Fearnleys AS ...
Thursday, 22 January 15
BUMI RESOURCES POSTS NET INCOME OF $13.3 MILLION 9M-2014
COALspot.com: Bumi Resources, Indonesia’s largest coal miner, reported today that, the company has recorded a net income of $13.3 million for ...
Wednesday, 21 January 15
PANAMAX MARKET MOVED SIDEWAYS OVERALL LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The positive sentiment in which the week prior ended carried on through-out last week as well, the end of which marked the first posi ...
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- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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