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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 20 January 15
INDONESIAN COAL OUTPUT SEEN RISING, DESPITE FALL IN ITS PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month on month and week over week, but Indonesian Coal Output Seen Rising. T ...
Tuesday, 20 January 15
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY DECLINED 2.83% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.45 per MT (-2.83%) month over month and US$ 0.50 (-0.99%) we ...
Monday, 19 January 15
HBA FALL TO FRESH LOWS; COAL OVERSUPPLY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH PRICE DOWN
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal bench mark price this month to US$ 63.84. T ...
Monday, 19 January 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS REMAIN WEAK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 3.37 (-5.63%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.74 (-1.29%) ...
Monday, 19 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q4 DELIVERY CLOSED 4% LOWER THAN Q1 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has f ...
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- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- The University of Queensland
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
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