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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 30 January 15
CAN BULKER CONVERSIONS SPOIL THE TANKER MARKET'S PARTY? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Oversupply of tonnage has always been in the back of the head of ship owners when it comes to taking advantage of favorable market conditions. As s ...
Thursday, 29 January 15
CHINA ENERGY DEMAND MUST BE REVIEWED DUE TO FUNDAMENTAL ECONOMIC CHANGES - WOOD MACKENZIE
New patterns emerging as energy demand growth decoupled significantly from GDP growth for the first time in 2014
Wood Mackenzie says 2014 was ...
Thursday, 29 January 15
CAPE MARKET IS STILL STRUGGLING WITH LOW DEMAND AND LOW COMMODITY PRICES
Handy
Supramax rates are heading south with slipping rates all across the block. USG activity is slow with mid-week levels in the mid 8.000s, Fea ...
Wednesday, 28 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - STELIOS KOLLINTZAS
With most traders having returned to action from year end festivities, we have already seen signs of activity in the specialized product markets. L ...
Wednesday, 28 January 15
CAPES CONTINUED THEIR UPWARD MOVEMENT LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market displayed a mirror performance of that of the week prior, with the Capesize market correcting further upwards and ...
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- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The University of Queensland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
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