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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 27 January 15
Q1 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 47.87 FOR WEEK ENDING JAN. 23
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 gain week over week and declined month on month.
The Q1 swap has decline US$ 0.9 ...
Tuesday, 27 January 15
Q2 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP UP 4.5% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.28 per MT (-0.54%) month over month and increased US$ 1.23 ( ...
Monday, 26 January 15
OVERSUPPLY, AMPLE STOCKPILES, AND LACKLUSTER UNDERLYING STEEL DEMAND KEPT COKING COAL PRICES LOW IN 2014
COALspot.com: Coking coal prices (FOB & CFR) fell 15% and 18% respectively during the year, amidst persistent oversupply, ample inventory and s ...
Monday, 26 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY Q2 COAL SWAP CLOSED LOWER THAN Q1 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and day on day.
The Q1 swap has fell ...
Monday, 26 January 15
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CONTINUE TO SLIDE M-O-M; ROSE W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.79 (-1.33%) per MT month over month and gained US$ 2.10&nb ...
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
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