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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 21 January 15
SHIFT IN INTERNATIONAL COAL TRADE TO THE PACIFIC BASIN WILL CONTINUE - IMF
COALspot.com: The shift in international coal trade to the Pacific Basin will continue, IMF said in its latest Medium-Term Coal Market Report.
...
Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic ...
Wednesday, 21 January 15
THERMAL COAL PRICE OUTLOOK DEPENDENT ON INDIAN IMPORT DEMAND - MATTHEW BOYLE, CRU
COALspot.com: Supply and demand side developments in India will be an important determinant of future market dynamics and prices for thermal coal a ...
Wednesday, 21 January 15
PORT OF NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS JUMP 16.19% ON MONTH TO 15.80 MIL MT IN DECEMBER' 14
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1.136 billi ...
Tuesday, 20 January 15
INDIA TO SURPASS THE UNITED STATES AND BECOME THE SECOND-LARGEST COAL CONSUMER IN THE WORLD BY 2019 - IMF
COALspot.com: In 2013, coal added more primary energy than any other fuel and was the fastest-growing fossil fuel, enhancing its position as the se ...
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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