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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 02 February 15
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP PICKS UP W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.81 (-1.36%) per MT month over month and gained US$ 0.18&nb ...
Monday, 02 February 15
SOUTH KOREA'S KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 280K MT OF SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender to buy total 280,000 MT of Sub-bituminous coal coa ...
Sunday, 01 February 15
INDONESIA-TO-INDIA COAL FREIGHT RATES REMAIN WEAK NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI continued its fall reached lowest levels since 1986 this week.
The BDI declined 15.55 pct to 608 points on Friday 30, Ja ...
Friday, 30 January 15
CONTANGO AND TANKERS - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Like an invitation to a dance, the word contango may have some people flustered, but for tanker owners this market phenome ...
Friday, 30 January 15
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION REACHED 65.7 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- White Energy Company Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
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