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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 04 February 15
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
It has been just about over 2 months since, in a move that surprised many and caused widespread apprehension, OPEC decided to maintain its producti ...
Tuesday, 03 February 15
Q1'15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 3.29 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q4'15 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q1 swap up US$ 0.68 (+1.41%) month o ...
Tuesday, 03 February 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q4 DELIVERY CLOSED 5.86% LOWER THAN Q1 PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 0.26 per MT (+0.51%) week over week and declined US$ 0.02 (-0.04%) ...
Monday, 02 February 15
API 4 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP ROSE WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and day on day.
The Q1 swap has decli ...
Monday, 02 February 15
INDONESIA'S ADARO ENERGY PRODUCED 56.21 MILLION TONNES OF COAL IN 2014; UP 8% Y-O-Y
COALspot.com: PT. Adaro Energy, Indonesia’s largest coal producer, has increased coal production by 8% to 56.21 million tonnes (Mt) from both ...
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
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