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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 08 February 15
BDI FELL CONTINUOUSLY HIT A THREE DECADES LOW
COALspot.com: This week Baltic Exchange Dry Freight Index (BDI) fell continuously hit a three decades low.
The BDI continuously fell and was d ...
Friday, 06 February 15
WEEKLY U.S. COAL PRODUCTION UP AN ESTIMATED 1.1% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 20.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 06 February 15
SHIP DAMAGED BY FIRE CAUSED BY PIRATES FOUND TO BE CONSTRUCTIVE TOTAL LOSS - TAYLOR WESSING
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The High Court was asked to determine a number of preliminary issues, including whether a vessel was a constructive total ...
Thursday, 05 February 15
BDI HAS NOW FALLEN A LEVEL CLOSE TO THE INDEX'S HISTORIC LOW - INTERMODAL
They say a picture is worth a thousand words and in this instance just one look at the tables above is enough to understand the great pressure the ...
Thursday, 05 February 15
ULTRAMAX LEVELS FROM INDIA TO CHINA IN THE MID US$ 5000'S - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
Despite the overall weak sentiment, there is a scent of optimism in the Atlantic market for ppt dates. Continent is still struggling with o ...
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The University of Queensland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Planning Commission, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
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