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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 10 February 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP ADVANCES 3.79% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q2 swap up US$ 0.85 (+1.81%) month o ...
Tuesday, 10 February 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS SURGE WEEK OVER WEEK, RAISING HOPES?
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 0.95 per MT (+1.91%) week over week and declined US$ 0.06 (-0.12%) ...
Monday, 09 February 15
AUSTRALIAN COAL PRODUCERS BEST POSITIONED IN OVERSUPPLIED MARKET; US MINES MOST AT RISK - WOOD MACKENZIE
In a 2015 global coal outlook report, Wood Mackenzie says that Australia and Indonesian coal suppliers will see some upside in the difficult months ...
Monday, 09 February 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP GAINS 3.65% TO ONE-MONTH HIGH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and day on day.
The Q2 swap has soared US$ 2.1 ...
Monday, 09 February 15
Q2' CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP DECLINED 3.28% TO $ 56.92 W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.93 (-3.28%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.10 (-0 ...
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- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
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