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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 12 February 15
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE INCHED DOWN 1.44% IN FEBRUARY
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal bench mark price this month to US$ 62.92 pe ...
Thursday, 12 February 15
NEWBUILDING ORDERING ACTIVITY DRAGS ON, AS OWNERS ARE LOOKING FOR LOWER PRICES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Ship owners appear to be waiting for lower prices in their dealings with Asian shipyards, as the dry bulk market is at historical lows. According t ...
Wednesday, 11 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET REMAINED UNDER PRESSURE : STABILIZING CAPE MARKET HARDLY HELPED SENTIMENT
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market remained under pressure last week, while the stabilizing Cape market hardly helped sentiment.
Greece based s ...
Wednesday, 11 February 15
BDI HITTING THE ALL-TIME LOW; FFA MARKETS NOT SHOWING ANY POSITIVE SIGNS
With the BDI hitting the all-time low and with FFA markets not showing any positive signs for a possible recovery in the near future, pessimism is ...
Tuesday, 10 February 15
IRON ORE MARKET TO REMAIN OVERSUPPLIED IN 2015: PRICE FORECAST $70/T - WOOD MACKENZIE
COALspot.com: With January witnessing the price of iron ore falling to its lowest levels since May 2009, Roger Emslie, Principal Metals & ...
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The University of Queensland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
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