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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 05 March 15
BUKIT ASAM BOOKED US$ 1 BILLION REVENUE IN 2014
COALspot.com: Indonesian publicly listed and state owned coal miner PT. Bukit Asam, has announced that, the revenue of the company for the period J ...
Wednesday, 04 March 15
AN AGENDA FOR CHANGE - FITCH INDONESIA CONFERENCE
Fitch Indonesia Conference - 5 March 2015
Fitch Ratings will host its annual Indonesia conference on 5 March 2015.
The theme of this year ...
Wednesday, 04 March 15
KEEP CALM AND INVEST IN DRY - THEODORE NTALAKOS
Keep Calm and Carry On was originally a motivational poster, intended to raise the morale of the British public, produced by the British government ...
Tuesday, 03 March 15
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORT VOLUME TO DECLINE 50% BY 2019
COALspot.com: The Indonesian government is planning to reduce coal export volume by 50% within the next five years while keeping its coal productio ...
Tuesday, 03 March 15
INDIAN THERMAL COAL IMPORTS: STEAMING FORWARD - CLARKSONS
Coal-fired power stations comprise around 60% of India’s power output, and with domestic supply issues and favourable international coal pric ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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