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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 03 March 15
Q4' FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED 2% LOWER COMPARED TO Q2 CLOSING PRICE OF $ 47.47
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose month on month and declined week over week.
The Q2 swap increased US$ 2.24 ...
Tuesday, 03 March 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS: Q2 UP 9.60%; Q3 UP 9.75% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and week on week.
The Q2 swap has soared US$ 5 ...
Monday, 02 March 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q2 DELIVERY REACHED $ 57.50 PMT W/E 27 FEB 2015
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.37 (+2.44%) per MT month over month and declined US$ 0.42 ...
Monday, 02 March 15
BORYEONG POWER PLANT OF KOMIPO TO IMPORT 140K OF SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL FOR Q2
COALspot.com - Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd. (KOMIPO) is inviting bids from coal producers, marketing companies, or traders to supply of 140,000 (70 ...
Monday, 02 March 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP ROSE 6.89% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 3.35 per MT (+6.89%) month over month and US$ 0.40 (0.78%) week on ...
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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