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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 10 March 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS HEADING SOUTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.24 per MT (-0.47%) month over month and US$ 1.52 (-2.93%) we ...
Tuesday, 10 March 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA POWER-STATION COAL SWAPS DECLINE
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery fell US$ 0.42 (-0.74%) per MT month over month and declined US$ 1.00 &nbs ...
Monday, 09 March 15
INDONESIA GREETS INDIA RATE CUT AS GOOD FOR EXPORTS - GLOBEASIA
Indonesian commodity producers and economists have hailed the Indian central bank’s rate cut as good for boosting exports from Southeast Asia ...
Monday, 09 March 15
CHINA'S SUPREME COURT ISSUES NEW JUDICIAL INTERPRETATION ON SHIP ARREST AND JUDICIAL SALE OF SHIPS - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
China is not traditionally a popular jurisdiction for ship arrest. However, Members and clients with ships calling at por ...
Monday, 09 March 15
CHINA'S IMPORTS - NEVER MORE IMPORTANT TO SHIPPING? - CLARKSONS
Over the last 15 years China has led maritime forecasters a right old dance. In 2002, rumours that Chinese iron ore imports were about to take off ...
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- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
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