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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 08 March 15
FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS TRENDING UP
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to see gains this week and all the indices were rose except for Cape index. The BDI was increased 4.62 p ...
Friday, 06 March 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX: IS THIS POWERFUL INDICATOR SIGNALING A GLOBAL RECESSION? - STREET AUTHORITY
Although memories of the Great Recession linger, a case can be made that better days lie ahead.
That’s because central banks around the ...
Friday, 06 March 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ROSE 3.5% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 05 March 15
PANAMAX : THE ATLANTIC ROUND IS NOW PAYING AROUND US$ 5K PER DAY
COALspot.com: Handy - The activity in the handy/supra segment is back. “ We see more fresh cargo in the market for 2nd half March dates ...
Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says I ...
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- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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