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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Sunday, 01 March 15
BDI INDEX SLIGHTLY UP CAUSED AN INCREASE IN THE PANAMAX, SUPARAMAX AND HANDY SIZE INDICES
COALspot.com: The freight market saw some gains this week and BDI was up 5.26 pct closed at 540 points. However the Cape index failed to follow BDI ...
Friday, 27 February 15
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION DOWN AN ESTIMATED 14.0% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 16.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET COULD REBOUND FROM HISTORICAL LOWS IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market could exit from its historical lows in the coming weeks, as Chinese buyers reenter the market after the holiday celebrations. T ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
COAL POLICY RISK: HIGHER ROYALTIES FOR IUP HOLDERS - BAHANA SECURITIES | JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry plans to raise coal royalties charged to mining operation permit (IUP) holders by the end of the first qu ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR POSITIVE MOMENTUM, BUT PROSPECTS REMAIN DIM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) inched a bit higher over the past couple of sessions and the Chinese are returning to the market after a week long hi ...
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
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