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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 05 May 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS MOVE NORTH THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 increased month over month and week over week.
The Q3 swap has increas ...
Monday, 04 May 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP Q1'16 PRICES SLIGHTLY LOWER COMPARED TO Q3'15 PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery gained US$ 1.38 per MT (3.12%) month over month and US$ 0.93 week on week. ...
Monday, 04 May 15
Q1' 2016 CFR SOUTH CHINA THERMAL COAL SWAP CLOSED HIGH THAN 2015 DERIVATIVES
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.15 (-0.29%) per MT month over month and increased US$ 0.07 ...
Sunday, 03 May 15
DRY BULK INDICES WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was flat to weak for the week starting from 27 April. The BDI was fell around 2.17% closed at 580 points.
...
Thursday, 30 April 15
IRON ORE EXPORTS: A DANGEROUS RACE? - CLARKSONS
The surge in iron ore exports in recent years has resulted in a significant decrease in iron ore spot prices, which dipped to a ten year low of bel ...
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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