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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 27 April 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION FELL BELOW ONE BILLION SHORT TONS IN 2013 - EIA
COALspot.com: For the first time in two decades, U.S. coal production fell below one billion short tons to 984.8 million short tons in 2013 from 1, ...
Monday, 27 April 15
Q3' 2015 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED 3.69% LOWER THAN Q2' 2015 PRICE OF $46.36
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery gained US$ 0.19 per MT (0.41%) month over month and US$ 0.78 week on week. ...
Monday, 27 April 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP SLOWLY IMPROVED THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.74 (-1.41%) per MT month over month and increased US$ 0.43 ...
Sunday, 26 April 15
DRY BULK MARKET KEPT IMPROVING THIS WEEK; CAPES AND PANAMAXES SHOW A SLIGHT PICKUP IN RATES
COALspot.com: The freight market was stable this week as BDI closed at 600 points after improving 0.50 percent week over week.
The cape ...
Friday, 24 April 15
CHINA IRON ORE MINE CLOSURES TO SLOW ON GOVERNMENT SUPPORT - FITCH
Fitch Ratings expects fewer Chinese iron ore mine closures in 2015 as the government takes steps to support the industry, which has been struggling ...
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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