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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 30 April 15
IRON ORE PLAYS EXPECTED TO SHAPE UP MAY DRY BULK SCHEDULE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Market plays in the iron ore commodities’ markets, are expected to carve out the future demand for the shipping industry as well, said Allied ...
Wednesday, 29 April 15
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The figures of China’s slowing down imports of coking coal for the first quarter of the year are coming to confirm what everybody was expecti ...
Wednesday, 29 April 15
SHIPBUILDERS START OFFERING DISCOUNTS FOR DRY BULK NEWBUILDINGS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It took a while, but now it appears that some shipbuilders are beginning to adjust their price lists to the new grim reality of the dry bulk market ...
Tuesday, 28 April 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP DECLINED M-O-M; INCREASED W-O-W
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q2 2015 gained week over week but declined month on month.
The Q2 swap was declined US$ 0.15 ( ...
Tuesday, 28 April 15
Q2' 15 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED 4.18% HIGHER FROM MONTH AGO
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 increased month over month and slightly week over week.
The Q2 swap ha ...
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
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