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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 May 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: DECLINED MOM AND WOW
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.46 (-0.90%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.28 (0. ...
Monday, 11 May 15
KOREA MIDLAND POWER INVITES BIDS FOR 140K MT OF 4600 NAR COAL
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender to buy total 140,000 Metric Tons (MT) of Sub-bitumi ...
Sunday, 10 May 15
FREIGHT RATES TO REMAIN SOFT NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was flat to soft week over week except for the Cape Index which was up 7.32%. Cape index was closed at 616 p ...
Friday, 08 May 15
BUSIEST CAPESIZE DEMOLITION MARKET EVER - BIMCO
The activity on the demolition market is off to a good start in 2015 when looking at dry bulk tonnage.
The dry bulk market has long suffered f ...
Friday, 08 May 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN U.S. UP 3.2% THIS PAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.4 million short ...
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
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