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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 06 May 15
COMBINATION OF HOLIDAYS AND A SHAKY MARKET PUT ADDITIONAL PRESSURE ON RATES
COALspot.com: The combination of holidays and a shaky market is always a recipe for additional pressure on rates and last week was no exception. Wi ...
Wednesday, 06 May 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
The first four months of 2015 are now behind us and they make up for a decent amount of time to look back and assess how the year is evolving so fa ...
Tuesday, 05 May 15
MIFA BERSAUDARA UNIT OF ABM INVESTAMA STARTS OPERATING $200M COAL MINE IN ACEH
Reswara Minergi Hartama, a coal mining unit of coal miner ABM Investama known as known as Reswara, inaugurated a $200 million integrated coal minin ...
Tuesday, 05 May 15
FREIGHT DERIVATIVE VOLUMES REACHED TOTALED 14,154 CONTRACTS IN APRIL - SGX
COALspot.com: “Our unique suite of freight and bulk commodity products provides market participants with a wide range of trading strategies a ...
Tuesday, 05 May 15
OVERSUPPLY PUTTING INDONESIAN COAL PRICES UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 lost week over week and month on month, this past week.
The Q3 swap was declined US$ 1 ...
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PTC India Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
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