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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 12 May 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP; DECLINED M-O-M AND W-O-W
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 lost week over week and month on month, this past week.
The Q3 swap was declined US$ 0 ...
Tuesday, 12 May 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS: LOST W-O-W; GAIN M-O-M
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 increased month over month and decreased week over week.
The Q3 swap h ...
Monday, 11 May 15
DRY BULK CARRIER ORDERS CRASH TO A TWENTY YEAR LOW - CLARKSONS
In the last four months dry bulk orders have fallen to 0.4m dwt per month, the lowest level since the 1990s. This is a massive 98% reduction from t ...
Monday, 11 May 15
HBA PRICE DIPS FURTHER; LOWEST RECORDED SINCE JANUARY 2009
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal benchmark prices to US$ 61.08 per MT in May ...
Monday, 11 May 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP; INCREASED M-O-M; DECLINED W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery gained US$ 0.62 per MT (1.41%) month over month and lost US$ 0.88 week on w ...
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- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Minerals Council of Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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