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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 05 August 15
COAL CONSUMPTION POSTED THE STRONGEST GROWTH AMONG THE FOSSIL ENERGY SOURCES IN 2014 - VDKI
Coal 2014: again the world's fastest-growing primary energy source and an indispensable asset for the success of the energy turnaround.
Ac ...
Wednesday, 05 August 15
FOB INDONESIA THERMAL COAL SWAPS FALL
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery 4Q 2015 declined month on month and week over week, this past week.
The 4Q swap was declined $ ...
Wednesday, 05 August 15
DRY BULKER PRICES START TO FIRM UP AS MARKET SENTIMENT IMPROVES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Market pessimism in the dry bulk industry, a trend which had established itself over the course of the year, has started to fade away over the past ...
Tuesday, 04 August 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS CONTINUE TO FALL DUE TO SLIDING DEMAND
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery 4Q' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The 4Q swap was down US$ ...
Tuesday, 04 August 15
SHIPPING CYCLES - A CHESS GAME YOU DON'T WANT TO LOSE - CLARKSONS
Ingmar Bergman’s classic movie The Seventh Seal is about a knight who, during the Black Death, challenges Death to a chess match, in the hope ...
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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