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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 03 August 15
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS DECLINE FURTHER THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down $ 1.92 per MT (-4.22%) month over month to US$ 43.58 per mt. The swap ...
Monday, 03 August 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS SLIDE THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.64 (3.14%) per MT month over month.
A commodity swap ...
Sunday, 02 August 15
CAPESIZE RATES PUSH BDI UPWARD
COALspot.com: The freight market was buoyant this week as BDI rose 4.14 pct to 1131 points. The cape index was also increased 16.50 pct 2209 points ...
Saturday, 01 August 15
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS ITS MOMENTUM, AS OUTLOOK IMPROVES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Although conditions remain more than challenging, especially from an economic point of view (aka China’s stock worries), the dry bulk market ...
Friday, 31 July 15
CAPE'S PAPER MARKET REMAINS FIRM - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The positive sentiment that the Dry Bulk market has been enjoying as of the previous month, was carried through last week as well, bu ...
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
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