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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 31 July 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. UP 3.6% FOR THE WEEK ENDING JULY 25
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.8 million shor ...
Friday, 31 July 15
CHINA'S NEW OIL IMPORT RULES HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON STATUS QUO - FITCH
Fitch Ratings says that China's looser criteria for crude oil import rights are a positive but modest step towards encouraging private-sector p ...
Thursday, 30 July 15
EFFECTS OF THE CHINESE STOCK MARKET CRISIS - INTERMODAL
All evidence is currently signaling that the Chinese stock market will be the newest hurdle for the global economy. With the world's second lar ...
Wednesday, 29 July 15
Q1'16 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED HIGHER THAN Q3'15
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 declined month on month and gains week over week, this past week.
The Q3 swap was decl ...
Wednesday, 29 July 15
Q4' 15 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS DECLINE 4.41% TO $56.52 PMT
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The Q3 swap was down US$ ...
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Planning Commission, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
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