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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 11 August 15
GLOBAL PRODUCTION OF CRUDE STEEL REACHED A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH OF 1,661M TONNES IN 2014 - VDKI
COALpot.com: Global production of crude steel reached a new all-time high of 1,661m tonnes in 2014, said German Coal Importer Association, in its l ...
Tuesday, 11 August 15
2016 CFR S.CHINA COAL SWAPS CLOSED SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN 4Q 2015 CLOSING PRICES; BUT NOT SIGNIFICANT
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined just US cents 10 (0.20%) per MT month over month.
A commodi ...
Monday, 10 August 15
SOUTH KOREAN UTILITY KOMIPO INVITES BITUMINOUS COAL BIDS FOR BORYEONG POWER PLANT
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender for 560,000 Metric Tons (MT) of 4,600kcal/kg NAR c ...
Sunday, 09 August 15
THE PANAMAX MARKET HAS REMAINED WEAK THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to be buoyant with cape index pushing the BDI.
The BDI was up 10.49% and closed at 1200 points on 7 ...
Friday, 07 August 15
COAL PRICE DEVELOPMENTS CAN ONLY BE DESCRIBED, SUCCINCTLY AS "OVERSUPPLY MEETS SUBDUED DEMAND" - VDKI
Coal Outlook 2015 – International
Regarding the outlook for global coal trading, two questions arise: firstly, “ whether the years of ...
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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