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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 07 August 15
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED 528.1 MMST; DOWN 8.7% Y/Y - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.7 million shor ...
Thursday, 06 August 15
THE RATES FOR CAPES SHOOT UP LAST WEEK; GIVING THIS RECENT RALLY SOME MUCH NEEDED LEGS - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market noted another positive closing last week, entirely supported by Capesize performance, which managed to balance th ...
Thursday, 06 August 15
HARD COAL AND COKE IMPORTS TO GERMANY REACH NEW ALL-TIME HIGH OF 56.2M TONES IN 2014
Demand for German and imported hard coal In 2014, in 2014 fell by almost 8%, or 4.8m TCE, to 56.2m TCE.
According to German Coal Importer ...
Thursday, 06 August 15
SEABORNE WORLD TRADE IN STEAM COAL GROWS BY 3% YOY - GERMAN COAL IMPORTER ASSOCIATION
Global trade with hard coal, at 1,272m tones in 2014, increased by 35m tonnes or 3% in comparison with the previous year.
According to associa ...
Wednesday, 05 August 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
On July 14th, 2015 a historical consensus was reached in Vienna between Iran and the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, plus Germ ...
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- The University of Queensland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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