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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 13 August 15
THE RATES FOR CAPES KEPT RALLYING LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: Strong Capesize performance kept supporting the Dry Bulk market last week, which noted another positive weekly closing, while rates f ...
Thursday, 13 August 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS CONTINUE FALLING
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery 4Q' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The 4Q swap was down US$ ...
Wednesday, 12 August 15
DRY BULK MARKET: WITHOUT A DOUBT REACHED HEALTHIER LEVEL
A few weeks before the end of the summer season, the BDI is hovering around 1,200 points, providing some much needed optimism to all Dry Bulk marke ...
Wednesday, 12 August 15
REGULATION CURBS POWER OF LOCAL AUTHORITIES IN MINING SECTOR IN INDONESIA - FLORENCE G. SANTOSO
The Indonesian Government appears to be getting serious about stripping Regents of the authority to issue mining licenses. The Government took the ...
Wednesday, 12 August 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FLAT WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down $ 0.98 per MT (-2.20%) month over month to US$ 43.65 per mt. The swap ...
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
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