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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 28 September 15
Q1'16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP ROSE 2.73 PER CENT M-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery moved upward US$ 1.45 (3.04 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity ...
Sunday, 27 September 15
THE PANAMAX INDEX FELL 1.19 PCT WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI closed Friday (25/09/2015) at 943 points, down by 17 points compared to previous Friday closing (18/09/2015). The BDI wa ...
Friday, 25 September 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. FOR THE WEEK ENDING SEPTEMBER 19 ROSE 2.5% PER CENT W-W
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.8 million shor ...
Wednesday, 23 September 15
CAPESIZE: SPOT RATES HAVE INCREASED MORE THAN 70 PER CENT DURING LAST WEEK
Dry Bulk owners, always look at September as the time that the market “signals” what lies ahead for the remainder of the year. The Chin ...
Wednesday, 23 September 15
INDONESIA: NEW REGULATION APPLIES FINAL INCOME TAX TO MINERAL AND COAL SALES - FLORENCE GRACIA SANTOSO
To increase state revenue from the mining sector, the Government of Indonesia has imposed a new final income tax on any sale of mineral and coal, a ...
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- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
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