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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Sunday, 20 September 15
BALTIC CAPE INDEX ROSE 66.52 PER CENT AND STAND NOW AT 1995 POINTS
COALspot.com: The BDI (Baltic Dry Index) rose 17.35 per cent week over week to 960 points on Friday mainly driven by the Capesize segment. The Cape ...
Friday, 18 September 15
SHIPPING AND THE FED RATE DECISION: FINANCING COSTS COULD RISE EVEN HIGHER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Regardless of the FED’s decision to raise rates, shipping stands to be influenced by the decision. Shipbroker Allied Shipbroking noted this w ...
Friday, 18 September 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED 6.7 PER CENT W-W: EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.4 million shor ...
Thursday, 17 September 15
COALSPOT HAS LAUNCHED NEW THERMAL COAL INDICES FOR INDONESIAN COAL
COALspot.com has today launched real-time CS (i) Coal Indices.
The Indices represents 3800 kcal/kg GAR, 4200 kcal/kg GAR, 5000 kcal/kg GAR a ...
Thursday, 17 September 15
LOW DEMAND PUSH COAL SWAP DOWN
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery 4Q 2015 declined month on month and gain week over week.
The 4Q swap declined $ 1.77 (-4.17%) ...
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The University of Queensland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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