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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 22 September 15
1Q16 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP DECLINED 6.49 PER CENT M-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery 4Q 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The 4Q swap declined $ 2.29 (-5.42%) per t ...
Tuesday, 22 September 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS FALL CONTINUES
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery 4Q' 2015 declined week over week and month over month.
The 4Q swap was down US$ ...
Monday, 21 September 15
Q4' 15 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED HIGHER THAN Q2' 16 SWAP
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery increased $0.43 per ton (1.01%) month over month to US$ 42.95 per ton. The ...
Monday, 21 September 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP GAINED WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined just US$ 0.45 (0.90 %) per ton month over month.
A commodit ...
Monday, 21 September 15
KOMIPO OF KOREA INVITES BIDS FOR BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender for 390,000 Metric Tons (MT) of minimum 4,600 kcal ...
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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