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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 30 September 15
Q1'16 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FALLS $1.25 A TON AS SLIDE CONTINUES
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q4 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The Q4 swap declined $ 0.72 (-1.78%) per t ...
Wednesday, 30 September 15
NEW BUILDING MARKET INSIGHT
COALspot.com: This year has been, beyond any doubt, a rather strenuous one for the newbuilding market. Ordering activity with regards to Dry Bulker ...
Tuesday, 29 September 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS ARE SLIDING
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2015 declined week over week and month over month.
The Q4 swap was down US$ ...
Monday, 28 September 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS UP $2.15 IN ONE MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2015 delivery increased $2.10 per ton (5.15%) month over month to US$ 42.93 per ton. The ...
Monday, 28 September 15
CAPESIZE FLEET INCREASES BY JUST 1 VESSEL DURING LAST 12 MONTHS, IN POSITIVE SIGN FOR DRY BULK SHIPPING MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
After a rather tumultuous period, the shipping industry and more particular the dry bulk market has started to adjust to the new realities of globa ...
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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