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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 05 October 15
Q1' 16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED US$ 48.05 PER TON
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down US$ 0.47 (0.96 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap is ...
Monday, 05 October 15
SMALL DECLINE IN 2014 SHIP OPERATING COSTS - MOORE STEPHENS
Total annual operating costs in the shipping industry fell by an average of 0.8% in 2014. This compares with the 0.3% average fall in costs recorde ...
Sunday, 04 October 15
THE INDO-INDIA FREIGHT MARKET REMAINS UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: The BDI closed on Friday (2 Oct 2015) at 889 points, down by 54 points compared to previous Friday's closing ( 24 Sept 2015) of 9 ...
Friday, 02 October 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE UNITED STATES DECREASED THIS WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.5 million shor ...
Thursday, 01 October 15
SOUTH KOREA'S KOMIPO SEEKS SPOT BITUMINOUS COAL SUPPLIES
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender for 265,000 Metric Tons (MT) of minimum 4,600 kcal ...
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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